Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82dcf7b42d2ed47a91ccad7e647523706fda7dd7287b7e03543a932f8fccd136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 7,050$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 3,408$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 1c | 1,942$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 29c | 1,200$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 613.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.35 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 557.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.97 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 29c | 399.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 30c | 319.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 280.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 30c | 262.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 67c | 155.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 68c | 79.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…5f80backed Over | 33c | 57.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 28c | 52.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ad82backed Over | 30c | 48.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…1d56backed Over | 30c | 46.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…f93fbacked Over | 30c | 45.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…a33cbacked Over | 30c | 40.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3abcbacked Over | 32c | 40.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked Over | 30c | 37.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 27c | 36.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…8b30backed Over | 30c | 36.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…5008backed Over | 30c | 35.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…0f10backed Over | 30c | 33.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 31.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 79c | 29.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +98%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…64c5backed Under | 72c | 20.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7178backed Under | 72c | 20.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…efe8backed Under | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…b162backed Under | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…f7eabacked Under | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…0558backed Under | 73c | 18.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…f1e5backed Under | 71c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed Under | 71c | 18.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…141abacked Under | 69c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…e4ecbacked Under | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…f161backed Under | 71c | 17.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…c8f3backed Under | 71c | 16.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…b7c0backed Under | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…3d3ebacked Under | 71c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…3c32backed Under | 71c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…a0d0backed Under | 72c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…d3c5backed Under | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…4919backed Under | 72c | 14.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed Under | 72c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.