TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc44f…3c32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-5.3wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.71
Will Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.4
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$4.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.66
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.