Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb49b8a9bece5083e96ed28dbdfa2db46c7b016df31f7df80ace87f993837f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 21c | 14,285$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 6,868$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.35 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 6,556$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.22 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 6,467$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.9 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 3,333$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.12 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,890$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 2,301$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Yes | 22c | 1,245$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,182$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 27c | 958.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 915.25$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 3c | 850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 708.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 19c | 550$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Yes | 21c | 466.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 21c | 429.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 380.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…75a0backed Yes | 15c | 281.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 26c | 280.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 280.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 22c | 250.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes | 22c | 234.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked No | 76c | 232.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 168.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…eaf4backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 80c | 109.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 26c | 107.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…83fcbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…8332backed No | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 79.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…e541backed Yes | 22c | 67.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…b875backed Yes | 22c | 66.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…73a2backed Yes | 22c | 64.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…53dbbacked Yes | 22c | 63.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 62.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…701ebacked Yes | 22c | 61.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…f486backed Yes | 22c | 58.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…8734backed Yes | 22c | 57.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…243abacked Yes | 22c | 56.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 20c | 53.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…008fbacked Yes | 22c | 53.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…0f76backed Yes | 22c | 53.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked Yes | 22c | 53.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…76afbacked Yes | 22c | 52.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 51.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…bce3backed Yes | 22c | 47.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…c373backed Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked Yes | 22c | 45.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…3087backed No | 80c | 18.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…c3d4backed No | 80c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…3b17backed No | 80c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…cf8bbacked No | 79c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 80c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked No | 79c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…c8f3backed No | 80c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…0f10backed No | 80c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…790fbacked No | 79c | 17.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6fd7backed No | 79c | 17.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…fac8backed No | 79c | 17.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked No | 80c | 16.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…8160backed No | 80c | 16.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…acebbacked No | 79c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…c2e9backed No | 79c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…106ebacked No | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cd…6307backed No | 80c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…3967backed No | 80c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…ae99backed No | 79c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…a293backed No | 79c | 15.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…d643backed No | 79c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…deabbacked No | 80c | 15.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…4681backed No | 79c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…5814backed No | 80c | 15.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…8b5ebacked No | 80c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked No | 79c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff7…4ae6backed No | 80c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…c0f0backed No | 79c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…b491backed No | 79c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…fd89backed No | 79c | 14.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…d4e8backed No | 79c | 14.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed No | 80c | 14.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked No | 80c | 14.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…3a01backed No | 79c | 14.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed No | 80c | 14.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed No | 80c | 14.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.