Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09357802381aac3174f0a6a88038d725ccccc87cb577e3c064d23eba2b5bef81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x528e…5c74backed Yes | 72c | 14,635$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 7,459$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.64 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 22c | 3,885$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 3,663$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.45 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 2,405$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.16 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 38c | 2,388$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 1,680$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 20c | 1,199$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 1,186$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 850$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 26c | 713.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 24c | 685.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 666.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 15c | 655$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 60c | 599.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 61c | 491.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Yes | 65c | 464.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…23f7backed Yes | 61c | 446.54$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 5c | 408.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 80c | 369.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 20c | 245.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 62c | 240.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 215.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Yes | 65c | 214$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 40c | 149.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 37c | 146.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 62c | 146.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 73c | 138.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 37c | 107.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 64c | 106.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 20c | 101.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 36c | 83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…ea7ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 38c | 78.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 38c | 74.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked No | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 38c | 68.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…7974backed No | 20c | 67.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 41c | 66.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 25c | 63.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…d776backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 24c | 47.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 39c | 45.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 64c | 39.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked No | 40c | 36.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked No | 40c | 36.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…57f3backed No | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…3967backed No | 40c | 36.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked No | 40c | 35.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked No | 40c | 34.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…c772backed No | 40c | 34.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 30c | 33.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…73a2backed No | 40c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…52f5backed No | 40c | 33.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…243abacked No | 40c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…90c3backed No | 40c | 33.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24b…3dc0backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…3b17backed No | 40c | 31.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…fbb4backed No | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…bce3backed No | 40c | 30.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…c8f3backed No | 40c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…2262backed No | 40c | 29.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Yes | 65c | 29.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…7f1abacked No | 40c | 29.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…790fbacked No | 40c | 29.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yes | 78c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…f486backed No | 40c | 27.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…8b5ebacked No | 40c | 26.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…b7c0backed No | 40c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…e517backed No | 40c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6fd7backed No | 40c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…ae99backed No | 40c | 25.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…a293backed No | 40c | 25.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…0c27backed No | 40c | 25.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked No | 40c | 25.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…3087backed No | 40c | 25.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 54c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed Yes | 62c | 24.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked Yes | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…e371backed Yes | 62c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b7…3a01backed Yes | 61c | 23.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.