Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d636cc5a580a32a045e38590b85bda78039ca758b99ff64b54eb914b8b81ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,112$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 77c | 354.78$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 6c | 329.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 80c | 322.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 318.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 25c | 285.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 283.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 75c | 205$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6987backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 25c | 76.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 60.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 60.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…da1cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…d1ebbacked Yes | 26c | 57.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 22c | 55.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…bd93backed Yes | 25c | 42.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…8ec4backed Yes | 26c | 42.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 22.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…4386backed No | 75c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…ed5fbacked No | 75c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…bce3backed No | 75c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…49d0backed No | 75c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…4666backed No | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…790fbacked No | 75c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…60b1backed No | 76c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…3c32backed No | 75c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…d034backed No | 75c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…c396backed No | 76c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…1361backed No | 76c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 76c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.