TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed No45c181,507$81,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,636.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c58,857$32,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,470.9744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes56c49,612$27,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,049.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes54c31,836$17,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,779.6313149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c26,514$15,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,634.043,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No44c9,010$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes55c5,820$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.3935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c4,437$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.22,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes53c4,113$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.519954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c4,077$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.8743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No49c4,041$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c3,820$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.8119934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6202744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed No45c3,200$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes55c3,091$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.919164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4107143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes54c2,901$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.511540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes56c2,800$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2322161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No45c2,730$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.495532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.279538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No46c2,602$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c2,013$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.9333055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No34c1,729$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.843737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes53c1,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.572065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c1,410$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No45c1,018$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.925343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c1,002$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8512336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes80c852.57$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3769148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes56c715$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes56c708.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No46c683.41$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.874852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No19c651.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.043625%9 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc954…1c82backed Yes46c625.77$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No47c610$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.71668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No60c600$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes57c578.18$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.623961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No54c512.96$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c512.33$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes56c500$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No48c499.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.775738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes55c429.8$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.278660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes47c402.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.411850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes39c399$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.397545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No9c377$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.932755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No44c367.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7142844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a4…6811backed No47c361.62$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ce…761fbacked No47c355.41$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9d…1820backed Yes54c352.76$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb9…5b79backed No47c352.55$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9afb…1e55backed Yes54c348.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b9…0839backed Yes54c341.44$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes53c339.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.625154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87bf…27dabacked No47c337.23$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62dd…9b5fbacked Yes54c336.65$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…2811backed Yes54c335.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd802…6364backed No47c321.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No47c304.26$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes52c302.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.024151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes54c293.58$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.327135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked No47c280.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.771323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes60c273.7$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No54c270.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.072458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c267.84$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4333847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No46c240.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes55c238.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.283956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes48c224.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes55c219.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9713050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No45c217.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8310055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes54c211.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed Yes55c201.29$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Yes41c201$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9414756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No51c197.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.