TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c24,732$12,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,954.437,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c20,196$11,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,815.2839637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c17,955$8,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.6123546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c16,290$7,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,229.442,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes52c9,508$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,572.511136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes55c8,967$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.2913330.1%40 W · 93 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c7,496$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8302,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c6,544$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.621,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes54c6,523$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.4549046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c6,100$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.6867050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c4,398$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.4851140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.45048%24 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes55c3,439$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.5517447.7%83 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes28c2,475$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c2,388$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.7529742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c2,178$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.675,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes55c2,002$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.826451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9006647%31 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9637641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c1,826$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.4283440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No5c1,825$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1322542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…513bbacked Yes55c1,819$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No23c1,639$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4310323.3%24 W · 79 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No66c1,520$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes55c1,363$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.284037.5%15 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes45c1,300$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7161546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c1,259$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.91,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes76c1,182$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.14353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes55c1,000$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes57c869.9$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.368557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes54c850$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes55c801$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.452070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No45c772.63$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3313755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No47c734.04$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No45c622.11$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.955125.5%13 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c606.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.418143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes21c600$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No42c599.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Yes55c585.64$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.544953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes58c562.07$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0720572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes54c556.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.213043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66c7…77eabacked Yes52c509.62$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes40c481.13$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.673053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No46c480.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0519241.7%80 W · 112 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No46c461.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.385450%27 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes46c442.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.592142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes55c440$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.62972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Yes22c400$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+201.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes25c394.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+180.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes55c367.27$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes55c365.13$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.315149%25 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes55c364.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.485754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1414132.6%46 W · 95 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes54c355$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes48c351$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.338733.3%29 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes40c300$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512552%65 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes67c297.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9721256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes55c297.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.933275%24 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No30c281.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.146142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+95.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes36c276.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.094353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x796a…b0a4backed Yes55c274.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes56c273.21$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.212128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c264.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7314137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.169033.3%30 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.161560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c260.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.421,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes55c247.3$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes55c234.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5536647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.27633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.273231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes45c219.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.865100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes39c212.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5610617.9%19 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes23c206.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.32714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes55c190.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.973545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.482268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.823161.3%19 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick36cpaid+65.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes46c167.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.394531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c158.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6585340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes55c142.59$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.