TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x796a…b0a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+72.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$138.61
Will the Forum for Democracy win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+952.2%+$142.83
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+745.4%+$3,578.73
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,089.33
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66.46
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$106.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$113.26
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+424.6%+$238.85
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102.99
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$210.55
Will FC Utrecht vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+83.2%+$124.84
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$39.28
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$61.49
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$23.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+161.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+422.7%+$602.68
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.27
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+300%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.