TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed No61c26,793$16,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,449.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c7,715$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.8884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c5,589$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.4792050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c4,504$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.6374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No25c4,389$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.952759.3%16 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+79.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c4,369$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.063,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c2,828$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.1652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c1,278$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.9677141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes39c1,015$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.857040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No59c983.05$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.053452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes39c959$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.014330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes41c820$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes75c599.53$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.651656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes35c571.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No58c499.82$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.926650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes41c489.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.891250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c429$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3131849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x796a…b0a4backed Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes6c375$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.910544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes8c340$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c331.41$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2127644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c308.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c305.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes41c245.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked No62c238.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Yes38c231.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.872941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c218.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.412,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes38c202$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.767636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes39c181.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.759056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed No62c160.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes38c158.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes39c157.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.548660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf8…3397backed Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503023.3%7 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xba07…1c15backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes75c132$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No62c130.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Yes42c119.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f5…4aa8backed Yes39c109.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed No59c107$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed No15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9212545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes39c85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1511643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No68c73.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.395660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes40c70.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1710035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27528%21 W · 54 L-9.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No60c56.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.647051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.512849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…a319backed No61c49.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No64c46.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7212258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No59c43.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.945547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No69c43.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.365026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc43…f930backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No57c34.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.948057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd370…76f2backed Yes42c33.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd8…02efbacked Yes43c33.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes39c30.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.033461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x175c…cdcdbacked Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…dbbfbacked Yes39c29.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3e…2832backed Yes39c28.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes41c28.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed Yes41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No58c22.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.535942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0310537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc871…2f76backed Yes77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.