Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559608134a80b0f909634d2225a51ffc27d017fb1258aad216d9776728d856df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 20c | 12,023$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,629.43 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 7,567$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 1,824$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.4 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 52c | 1,202$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 3c | 751.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 727.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.27 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 651.95$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…79e3backed Yes | 77c | 506.49$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 34c | 308.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 239.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 229.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 69c | 210.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed No | 8c | 168.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 137.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 137.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Yes | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 77cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 131.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 71c | 104$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 71c | 97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 18c | 91.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed Yes | 30c | 76.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 71c | 76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 70c | 63.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 23c | 57.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 33c | 54.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 57c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 43.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked No | 33c | 40.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 77c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.