TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c12…1f27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Osoriobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+98.3%+$14.69
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.8
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensbacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Qatar Total Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Clara Tausonbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+60.6%+$150.96
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$153.69
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$449.4
Australian Open Women's: Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$61.01
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52.98
Australian Open Men's: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Australian Open Men's: Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$130.6
Australian Open Women's: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Hannover 96 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+178.1%+$211.44
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Hertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$111.98
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$43.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87.2%+$39.11
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$33.6
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$62.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.