Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f59d0d2812db302fe7259d4d0a47efec76a3b08c6a65f2afcf3ba40114730dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 71c | 5,306$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 4,957$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.16 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 4,301$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 78c | 2,333$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 2,062$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 66c | 757.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 677.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 613.62$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 70c | 555.55$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 59c | 339.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 323.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 265.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 64c | 156.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 101.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 63c | 100.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 88.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 78c | 76.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 69c | 25.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.