Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce78e4250431be9f85bb5d413cc21abec70e1c7e27337dd96cec6a7ca79c6003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,029$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 76c | 261.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 56c | 228.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 155$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 45c | 136.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 65c | 117.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 78.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…1fc5backed Yes | 68c | 50.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 40.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 43c | 34.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.