TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c13,270$6,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,893.5535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1896…a736backed Under47c12,901$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,781.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.996454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c4,584$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.161,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c4,001$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.4412839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,811$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.851,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over53c2,972$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.386060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under48c2,725$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over45c2,250$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over56c2,048$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.8815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c2,008$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06423151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over48c1,727$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.653167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.671952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under62c1,612$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.431947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c1,579$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under28c1,392$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.273551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c1,390$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over33c1,154$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under48c1,060$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.426119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c538.78$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c504.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9a…f404backed Over55c500$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.617756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.613655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over53c420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22027244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over39c380.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.983070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c356.55$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over52c330.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.911556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over52c309.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under31c275.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.842334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over39c231.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.471435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over46c201.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.444934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.18355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.18755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.88858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over69c154.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c132.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under46c124.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.012857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c121$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.155435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.67452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over48c97.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.12040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over42c95.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.298333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over52c91.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.642532%8 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over52c82.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c79.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Under77c70.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.110652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under46c66.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.488942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over32c65.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over51c60.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea51…a876backed Over52c58.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under42c52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.165343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c51.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c51.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6426046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c41.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.318360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…644bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Under37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under63c37.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over70c34.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.