Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79249754826ef815f85cd58a7fbe92a0b40b575a758d9379af1bb40f7d0569fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Lorientof Stade Rennais FC 1901, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Lorient | 70c | 29,257$20,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,677.88 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 27c | 16,547$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.84 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 29c | 11,934$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.86 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FC Lorient | 71c | 10,500$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Lorient | 76c | 6,849$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.89 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed FC Lorient | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 31c | 1,980$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.55 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed FC Lorient | 71c | 1,547$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.03 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 31c | 1,499$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 17c | 1,248$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 599.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed FC Lorient | 69c | 520$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked FC Lorient | 72c | 518$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed FC Lorient | 71c | 415.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed FC Lorient | 72c | 207.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed FC Lorient | 70c | 143.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed FC Lorient | 72c | 124.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 28c | 96.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed FC Lorient | 71c | 96.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed FC Lorient | 71c | 95.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Lorient | 70c | 86.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed FC Lorient | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed FC Lorient | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…2f22backed FC Lorient | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed FC Lorient | 71c | 35.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked FC Lorient | 72c | 33.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed FC Lorient | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked FC Lorient | 69c | 23.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed FC Lorient | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed FC Lorient | 70c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.