Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9dfc029925ab4310c2027e5e841f9beb823371f1228ef21fc18d9279eefbe5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 2c | 40,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 5,699$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.54 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Under | 41c | 3,999$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Under | 4c | 2,438$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,643$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 791.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 55c | 550.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…2168backed Over | 73c | 546$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Over | 61c | 407.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…dee1backed Over | 73c | 343.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 246.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 8c | 214.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Over | 59c | 206.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under | 8c | 149.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +383.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…f773backed Over | 73c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 70c | 125.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 111.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 29c | 103.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…8d20backed Over | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 83.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 81.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 67c | 69.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed Over | 63c | 64.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 29c | 53.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 31c | 47.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 56c | 46.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 30c | 39.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 60c | 29.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 70c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…8227backed Over | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5this page
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.