Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d9c89da57b2ceff31f90ecccf7ce09e676c18af0307a56dd25d8a50515a8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4422…96f4backed No | 72c | 6,999$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,513$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…61cabacked No | 50c | 1,248$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 1,184$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,178$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,109$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 31c | 804.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 51c | 735.35$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.03 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 37c | 724.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.12 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 695.93$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…61ecbacked Yes | 50c | 628$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…075abacked Yes | 50c | 607$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 46c | 450.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.42 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 421.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked No | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 18c | 363.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 52c | 320.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…a94fbacked Yes | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 262.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 192.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 37c | 185.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 183$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 51c | 168.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 38c | 87.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 83.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 42c | 47.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 47c | 45.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…efa7backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…fa70backed No | 50c | 30.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 50c | 19.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.