TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9390…6303

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.16
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.74
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.16
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.13
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.64
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$95.33
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$88
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+62.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+239%+$141
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+116.7%+$81.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.16
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.16
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+192.5%+$96.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+120.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$34.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.