Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f111fa04e80dce8c43d8375d16fd633c105ff5a33796545abccd3e0834a08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,605 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 6,273$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes | 1c | 4,035$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 3,130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 1c | 2,725$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 4c | 2,149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,505$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.62 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,336$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…70e3backed Yes | 10c | 633.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 581.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 12c | 530.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 65c | 519.03$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…5475backed No | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 461.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 51c | 459.27$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…810ebacked Yes | 7c | 456.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 10c | 449.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 19c | 395.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 34c | 379.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 371.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Yes | 14c | 354.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 14c | 305.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…1e02backed Yes | 6c | 261.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Yes | 9c | 246.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 244.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 7c | 235.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 18c | 220$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 9c | 215.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 13c | 211.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Yes | 14c | 211.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…48fdbacked Yes | 8c | 207.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 15c | 185.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 77c | 183.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 11c | 181.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…3d64backed Yes | 11c | 177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 17c | 164.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed Yes | 21c | 161.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 40c | 157.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 41c | 153.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 151.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 68c | 151$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 149$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 143.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 141.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 31c | 131$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7c…ff63backed Yes | 18c | 114.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 14c | 109.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…e247backed Yes | 18c | 109.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked No | 63c | 106.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 19c | 101.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…f5f0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…ea0ebacked Yes | 11c | 96.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked Yes | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked Yes | 36c | 90.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 12c | 89.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 20c | 89.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ea…4558backed Yes | 13c | 83.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 75.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 76c | 66.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…4351backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 34c | 54.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 38c | 53.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 73c | 47.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…17e5backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…1ad8backed No | 67c | 43.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 49c | 39.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed Yes | 35c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf905…9cc4backed No | 77c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…b2e1backed No | 51c | 31.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…4ad4backed Yes | 38c | 30.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 42c | 24.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…ec7dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…dc3abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…2bcfbacked No | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 78c | 15.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.