Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e53b115802939e03d7f4706bdc432d7ada1e8a5916b2736ed320c0c43c25db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,066$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 4,680$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 2,674$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 36c | 2,289$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.3 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked Yes | 73c | 2,251$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 6c | 1,479$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 11c | 1,449$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 1c | 1,337$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 8c | 1,322$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…5af1backed No | 1c | 1,098$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 11c | 828.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…5475backed No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 414.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 60c | 414.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 52c | 371.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…6cb8backed Yes | 26c | 344.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 66c | 335.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.62 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…7badbacked Yes | 34c | 326.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked No | 15c | 244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 37c | 222.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…80edbacked No | 9c | 200.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 197.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…86cbbacked Yes | 59c | 187.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 18c | 185.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 172.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 10c | 168.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 60c | 164.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 132.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 127.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 23c | 124.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 120.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 40c | 119.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…ed49backed Yes | 55c | 119.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 23c | 117$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 18c | 114.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 36c | 100.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 97.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 63c | 95.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 63c | 91.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 30c | 89.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 88.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 70c | 86.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 17c | 83.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 72c | 73.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…65eabacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 17c | 69.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 29c | 60.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…c9aabacked Yes | 34c | 59.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…1b47backed Yes | 52c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 50c | 51.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…0dedbacked Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…c8febacked Yes | 64c | 49.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 48.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b66…3907backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 55c | 38.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 36c | 36.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked Yes | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +21.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 59c | 30.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 65c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…e5d9backed Yes | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 55c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…67babacked Yes | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…8640backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 68c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…04a1backed No | 67c | 18.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 66c | 16.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…db89backed No | 66c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fa55backed No | 66c | 16.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.