Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1ce9fe8f9e5ef0865b087a0ef696ffbc8380451216b668daef7fbc2f535e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,944$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.1 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 52c | 732.69$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 48c | 610.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.27 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 486.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 48c | 477.2$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 409.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 67c | 294.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 53c | 279.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 53c | 113.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 97.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 46c | 63.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Yes | 53c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.