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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c13,183$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,260.361,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under1c5,911$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.365330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under49c4,753$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Over72c3,216$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.081040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over48c3,082$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c2,413$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.41,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c2,361$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.8731049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under1c1,853$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.537142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c1,454$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.4471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,105$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4588044.2%389 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c1,100$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.822138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over51c1,058$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under59c1,046$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.9433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c904.55$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.3137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over48c781$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.444425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over53c761.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c738$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.726454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c710$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c599.7$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.888145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over63c599.48$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.481560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.926100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c521.48$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2390%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over43c485.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.393167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over76c386.51$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.524934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c365.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c324.81$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over51c316.75$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2199145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c247.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9912343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under47c214.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.351822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over39c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.57352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under31c195.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.624252.9%128 W · 114 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over42c190.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under49c190.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.313537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over62c161.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.552552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over53c156.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Under65c153.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under49c114.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.022937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over58c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.099846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over51c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over39c96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.298856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c95.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.234742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c90.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3123151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.29752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddb…8afcbacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.926842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c67.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8422954.1%124 W · 105 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under40c65.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under45c59.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under30c56.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.183351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over68c55.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over40c53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.83852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under53c50.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over53c49.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.098942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c46.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4533847.9%162 W · 176 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over54c46.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.274445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Under68c39.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83df…2a73backed Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4aa…947cbacked Over49c34.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over39c33.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.284930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Under59c30.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c27.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Over61c26.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd8…8593backed Under60c26.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Over53c23.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf675…dfbfbacked Under65c20.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over71c19.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.991668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.