Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b4fe1bc10bcfb1fa06f936075d7153c2b98cb4ea9bbb3e0eb70c3d8b8ca132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 4,580$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.01 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 2,580$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.7 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,830$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.57 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 70c | 1,531$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 53c | 932.95$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 65c | 692.63$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 604$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 479.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 375$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 346.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…8f86backed Over | 77c | 179.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Over | 77c | 158.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 62c | 102.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 73c | 95.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…3eeebacked Over | 76c | 93.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Over | 77c | 75.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 24c | 71.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 61c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 69.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 67c | 67.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 53.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Over | 67c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.