Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ae5a82716e4fb8ca1e65b16cb12e44d649b0f24390f6a7c5fe709f2d13199b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of Olympique Lyonnais, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Brestois 29 | 64c | 3,754$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…d640backed Stade Brestois 29 | 67c | 3,212$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…4dd1backed Stade Brestois 29 | 67c | 2,942$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fef…2913backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 1,287$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…e52bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 1,156$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stade Brestois 29 | 70c | 1,106$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.69 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…db10backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 1,033$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e1fabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 974$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 52c | 964.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…5869backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 892$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…9f66backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 812$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…fea7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 692.88$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…169cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 589.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stade Brestois 29 | 68c | 307.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 290.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 266.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 63c | 228.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 199.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stade Brestois 29 | 41c | 187.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 71c | 167.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 126.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Stade Brestois 29 | 67c | 124.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 114.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Olympique Lyonnais | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Olympique Lyonnais | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Stade Brestois 29 | 68c | 27.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Stade Brestois 29 | 68c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stade Brestois 29 | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.