Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c14f87e66b1a4f3b8b2c28a34849b05b843021b3ac098d9e514ea0df512dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 6,789$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…d50cbacked Over | 24c | 1,913$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,867$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.94 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 72c | 1,756$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.58 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.71 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 11c | 1,249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 55c | 605.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 30c | 485.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 30c | 353.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 299.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 234.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 66c | 227.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 223.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 69c | 168.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 75c | 147.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 55c | 128.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 51c | 104.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 40c | 86.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Under | 61c | 73.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…f1dfbacked Over | 60c | 66.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…5f80backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 26c | 56.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 31c | 49.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 48.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…eccebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Over | 31c | 34.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 69c | 31.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 72c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Under | 80c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 69c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.