TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57c6…fde6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.61
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$170.53
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$66.89
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$189.26
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.36
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Algeria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$61.09
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+247%+$98.79
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.61
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$166.38
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$160
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+525%+$210
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$120
Nuggets vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$226.55
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$163.36
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+159.2%+$70.05
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$171.17
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.1%+$202.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$385.54
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015.36
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$195.56
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$121.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+158.9%+$169.35
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$122.01
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$98
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.84
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.08
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$169.82
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$226.33
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$56.89
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$142.43
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.25
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$130.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+164%+$260.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.32
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$175.33
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.76
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$225.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.