TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57c6…fde6backed Warriors2c3,176$55 inLost-$552835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors42c1,623$683 inLost-$682.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors58c1,190$691 inLost-$690.5648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51e3…edc7backed 76ers41c1,095$443 inWon+$651.231526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed 76ers42c997.49$423 inWon+$574.5118650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed 76ers75c487.89$368 inWon+$119.7313464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86dd…98aabacked Warriors46c434.78$200 inLost-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers39c235.26$92 inWon+$143.5133945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed 76ers47c214.54$100 inWon+$114.5420241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Warriors35c183.58$63 inLost-$63.466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Warriors61c100$61 inLost-$6162848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…0806backed Warriors61c100$61 inLost-$617350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors54c78$42 inLost-$42.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked 76ers52c51.92$27 inWon+$24.9248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1711…aafcbacked Warriors61c44.26$27 inLost-$27425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb5…2112backed 76ers66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.38461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Warriors58c22.78$13 inLost-$13.2117750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x095f…da2cbacked Warriors70c18.6$13 inLost-$13.021030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.