TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Under48c62,919$30,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,717.6544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c25,623$13,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,323.981,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c24,935$12,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,979.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd45c…36c4backed Under48c21,076$10,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,053.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over52c17,163$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c13,000$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c12,300$5,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,39624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c12,182$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,334.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c11,695$6,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,023.5865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c6,982$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under49c6,890$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.918536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c6,200$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c4,979$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c4,263$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c3,470$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.6847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c3,451$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,531$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over51c1,500$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7724050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,492$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over52c1,476$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.748751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under48c1,305$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.513435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,161$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under50c1,130$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56510251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under49c1,108$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.169952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Under48c824.13$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.552352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over4c651.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0735326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c466.02$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.521,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c439.82$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ad…e93cbacked Under49c434.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Under48c407.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.945052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under50c400.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3213464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over51c398.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3520147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Under47c369.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.752853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c366.29$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Under45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16440053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c298.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over51c278.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c255.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.643,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Over54c241.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.458970.8%63 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…3dcabacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c182.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c172.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c150.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c145$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under8c128.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Over49c122.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.193554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under51c112.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Under54c110.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.032454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5138845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under11c94.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9123047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cfc…0a65backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over21c89.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.919050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over44c70.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaac8…95e7backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over60c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.423249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Over51c65.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.654748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under49c61.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.848043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1128243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Under48c60.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.237458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ee…dc20backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0216555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0237352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe525…0d4ebacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x543e…67b1backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e7…8258backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…28bdbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…3315backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.