NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b1d3967a4673eb8dbd8cc3983843198a5822db484cc94445ffa2c4c47c6af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 1,817$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,488$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 43c | 726.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 426.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 426.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 253.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…52d7backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 60c | 246.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 223.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 40c | 222.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 52c | 190.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 68c | 153.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 53c | 137.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 8c | 127.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed Over | 53c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Over | 53c | 89.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 43c | 67.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 48c | 54.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Over | 53c | 44.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 42.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…c3d4backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 41.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 44c | 30.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 41c | 30.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 49c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 45c | 27.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Under | 58c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 53c | 19.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.