NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d750ba0b2de9fce920ca9ba474710a67aa15408eb186419dc5cb64f2da188b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Warriors, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc617…a854backed Warriors | 54c | 7,037$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.02 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 46c | 6,518$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 44c | 4,523$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 55c | 3,963$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.97 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Warriors | 65c | 3,835$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.38 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 42c | 2,495$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 56c | 2,095$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 41c | 2,011$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 41c | 1,624$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 33c | 1,520$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.2 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 53c | 1,310$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…c84bbacked 76ers | 49c | 920$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 35c | 857.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 55c | 840.28$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers | 41c | 816.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.79 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed 76ers | 43c | 651.79$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed 76ers | 42c | 605.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Warriors | 65c | 542.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 433.19$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Warriors | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed 76ers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…a46cbacked Warriors | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…8dc9backed Warriors | 51c | 310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…c2a2backed Warriors | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 52c | 285.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Warriors | 58c | 241.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 44c | 240.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed 76ers | 44c | 237.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Warriors | 57c | 207.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked 76ers | 50c | 200.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked 76ers | 39c | 200.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed 76ers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 56c | 159.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 57c | 122.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 57c | 122.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed 76ers | 45c | 100.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 76ers | 39c | 89.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Warriors | 57c | 70.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed Warriors | 57c | 67.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed 76ers | 43c | 61.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 76ers | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Warriors | 55c | 53.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 44c | 50.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Warriors | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 41c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Warriors | 57c | 48.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…fa0fbacked 76ers | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 42c | 45.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Warriors | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Warriors | 53c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Warriors | 58c | 37.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…5e5ebacked 76ers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…5652backed Warriors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 59c | 35.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked 76ers | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked 76ers | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed 76ers | 49c | 28.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Warriors | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 76ers | 37c | 27.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…b641backed 76ers | 43c | 27.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked Warriors | 57c | 27.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Warriors | 57c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed 76ers | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…be21backed Warriors | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…0779backed Warriors | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…4711backed Warriors | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Warriors | 53c | 19.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Warriors | 53c | 19.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Warriors | 57c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Warriors | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.