TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2905…18a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$33.88
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$38.6
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$60.26
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.41
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56.15
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-15.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.72
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22.75
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$38.6
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$31.33
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-5.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$27.95
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-6.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.58
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$92.72
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.08
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$59.62
Spread: Siena Saints (-1.5)backed Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.9
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$29.12
Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)backed Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+86.9%+$67.11
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$40.18
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$47.1
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$19.28
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$27.18
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.74
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+86%+$12.12
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.62
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+86.1%+$33.18
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.3%+$20.18
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$32.88
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+91.4%+$35.27
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.3%+$97.7
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$35.63
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$457.47
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.76
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$125.45
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.61
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$139.57
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$375.81
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.35
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57.78
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.61
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$32.88
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$115.8
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.5%+$13.72
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.51
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$230.33
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+113.5%+$66.67
Islanders vs. Flamesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95.42
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$70.31
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$35.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+94.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+140.8%+$602.68
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$98.13
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Freeman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.