TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over47c466,810$220,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220,272.1820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under52c133,388$69,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,026.368354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under53c115,680$61,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,212.931,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c40,862$21,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,085.161,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under54c25,000$13,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,55033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c22,148$10,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,154.3856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over47c19,100$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,977.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a80…141fbacked Under78c18,309$14,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.751631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under53c17,777$9,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,355.1913363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over21c17,072$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.0410650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c10,175$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.522,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c7,053$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.092,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c6,851$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.341,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over46c6,748$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.4826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under54c5,900$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.3114753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3503743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under53c4,028$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.448650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8804057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4108845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c2,943$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.41,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under54c2,477$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over22c2,220$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.981,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under53c2,068$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.2417057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under56c1,512$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.463647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c1,459$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.6883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under63c1,231$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0113747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c1,217$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.436038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over48c1,104$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.259157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44012838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over47c989.62$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.784965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37631848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over40c684.87$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3518262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over25c645.76$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over46c590.07$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.316254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Under50c573.18$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.591050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c503$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7447256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over33c480$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.410667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c447$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c406$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.723751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under56c358.12$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6223754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.149159.3%54 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1618047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c331$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.571,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under53c307.75$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.645560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14420444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over47c296.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Under55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c248.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5760741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under54c243.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under55c241.81$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.375959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under54c235.66$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9216158.4%94 W · 67 L+12.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over7c203.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over10c203.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7121040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cc…535abacked Over48c187.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Under54c179.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under73c179.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.033148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under56c178.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.851540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a93…cb5fbacked Under54c170.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c163$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.611,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over47c153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5213557.8%78 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over7c151$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over47c148.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.141580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b79…f5b2backed Under55c144.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.952065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under54c135.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6425354.2%137 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over47c132.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5516463.4%104 W · 60 L+18.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over48c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over45c112.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2426243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.119948.5%48 W · 51 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1128549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under53c106.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under54c103.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8528550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over50c100.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over45c99.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9712947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under54c99.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.586450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under54c97.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.810354.4%56 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Under54c96.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x892b…d315backed Under54c91.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.921353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over27c91.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7274054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…6e99backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over45c84.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8434949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over20c84.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9611537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.215155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over34c76.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1611153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under54c76.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.239147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.473748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under54c74.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.162958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Under54c71.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d8…af3ebacked Under70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under54c70.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2510059%59 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over48c69.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5216447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.