TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x131e…3343

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.2%+$192.31
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.4%+$30.51
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-5.5)backed New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$260.2
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+95.4%+$95.37
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+32.3%+$64.61
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.5%+$44.95
Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+124%+$110.87
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+106.5%+$106.51
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+86.9%+$66.71
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.3%+$96.27
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$39.87
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+30.6%+$61.17
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.7%+$49.03
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$59.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+110.9%+$22.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$104.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+34.6%+$25.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.