NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c9e01d4accddff44a239e31adad4bdfa47bffc00d24d5e3fb6fa58ca76beba

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Raptors, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $716,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $718,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,090 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	46c	413,845$190,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190,368.74	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	54c	349,413$188,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160,729.77	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Jazz	53c	79,127$41,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,238.84	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	54c	34,915$18,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,060.87	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz	53c	34,657$18,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,172.56	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors	48c	22,308$10,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,819	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…cd76backed Jazz	51c	16,700$8,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,183	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Raptors	49c	16,700$8,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,183	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Raptors	49c	16,300$7,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,987	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Jazz	51c	16,300$8,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,987	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa284…11a0backed Raptors	48c	16,285$7,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,817	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Jazz	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,899.99	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Jazz	54c	11,111$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,111.06	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz	56c	10,795$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,794.82	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz	51c	10,341$5,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,067.12	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Jazz	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea9…1a13backed Raptors	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Raptors	46c	9,505$4,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,372.31	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	54c	9,300$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300.24	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors	46c	9,227$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,276.94	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	46c	8,788$4,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026.18	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Raptors	47c	7,400$3,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,477.97	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Raptors	47c	7,225$3,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,395.75	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	47c	6,911$3,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,222.09	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Raptors	47c	6,249$2,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,936.96	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb1…4a35backed Raptors	49c	6,208$3,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,041.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jazz	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Raptors	47c	5,969$2,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,805.34	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors	46c	5,796$2,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,666.11	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Raptors	47c	5,062$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Raptors	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Raptors	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,199.98	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	43c	4,023$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.47	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors	47c	3,851$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,801.53	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors	46c	3,199$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.31	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Jazz	54c	3,189$1,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.75	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors	47c	3,025$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.74	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Jazz	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz	54c	2,828$1,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.07	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Raptors	47c	2,827$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.79	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Raptors	47c	2,714$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.75	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	47c	2,570$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.64	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Jazz	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6e…964fbacked Jazz	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2437…2edcbacked Jazz	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Raptors	46c	1,870$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.2	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors	47c	1,784$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.29	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Raptors	45c	1,708$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.69	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe573…33f2backed Jazz	51c	1,708$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	52c	1,426$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.89	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors	20c	1,380$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.05	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Raptors	47c	1,111$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.17	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Raptors	45c	1,110$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.5	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Raptors	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	47c	980$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.6	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz	55c	925.9$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.66	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Raptors	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Raptors	47c	817.72$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz	53c	800$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	80c	753.33$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.2	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors	47c	727$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.51	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Jazz	56c	700$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Raptors	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Raptors	47c	658.19$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.3	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Raptors	49c	639.81$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.51	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors	47c	582$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.86	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Jazz	54c	556.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.74	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Raptors	27c	550.93$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors	47c	546$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.62	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Raptors	45c	528.64$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.89	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Jazz	54c	514.89$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.42	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Jazz	56c	470.02$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.81	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jazz	54c	468.26$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.4	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Raptors	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Raptors	47c	440$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.7	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors	46c	437.04$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.04	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd8…ff1abacked Raptors	44c	422.73$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Raptors	46c	418$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.28	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Raptors	47c	418$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.46	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Jazz	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Raptors	54c	394.27$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.27	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors	47c	385.68$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.27	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Jazz	55c	381.82$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.82	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Raptors	48c	380.17$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.66	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors	46c	371$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.31	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Jazz	54c	366.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.82	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors	45c	343.66$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.57	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Raptors	43c	338.6$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.6	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Raptors	47c	332.88$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.46	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a5…0a1abacked Raptors	50c	300.26$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Jazz	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Jazz	56c	299.99$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.99	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Jazz	55c	271.1$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.1	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-8.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Raptors	46c	252.73$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.26	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6767…d905backed Raptors	48c	227.08$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Raptors	47c	217.78$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.97	118	49.2%58 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Raptors	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event