NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2215508f7de294260d56772ca69cb53bfae940f83db7c628282d2b6bfb9186a4

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $374,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,998 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Under	49c	133,918$65,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,777.35	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over	53c	68,510$36,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,238.99	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	53c	64,039$33,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,752.73	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Under	48c	30,000$14,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,749.97	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over	51c	17,673$9,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,013.19	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under	47c	13,630$6,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,286.3	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	49c	11,863$5,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,050.27	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	47c	10,383$4,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,502.96	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	9,693$4,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,955.23	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over	52c	7,692$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over	53c	7,594$4,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,024.98	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	6,664$3,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,523.37	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under	47c	6,362$2,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,371.7	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	5,197$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,736.92	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	44c	3,837$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under	47c	3,526$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.58	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	58c	3,234$1,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,370.04	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	3,127$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.6	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	52c	2,791$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.43	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	53c	2,468$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.13	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under	50c	2,009$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.29	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	51c	1,557$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.67	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over	52c	1,540$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.84	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under	47c	1,523$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.38	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	47c	1,394$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.75	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	51c	1,330$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.1	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	46c	1,019$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.26	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	57c	895.34$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.04	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	68c	833.3$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.25	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	48c	815.91$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.27	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over	53c	757$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.21	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over	53c	754.72$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	47c	750$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.5	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	47c	708.41$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.46	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	76c	661.95$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.95	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	47c	626$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.74	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over	51c	607.83$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	606.61$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.53	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Under	70c	571.79$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.54	98	61.2%60 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	54c	548$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.92	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	54c	471.7$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.72	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	71c	422.62$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.71	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	47c	421$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.13	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	46c	418$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.72	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under	74c	270.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.37	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Under	47c	265.96$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.96	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	49c	224$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.24	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	173	53.2%92 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over	54c	200$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	53c	200$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	53c	198.11$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	227	56.8%129 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Under	74c	175.56$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	72cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Over	53c	164.15$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over	53c	161.28$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.48	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Under	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	46c	155.77$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.12	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	47c	155.21$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.26	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	49c	125.34$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.92	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	53c	122.64$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	53c	110.58$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	46c	92.5$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.95	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	53c	92.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over	55c	91.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	71c	77.51$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over	53c	74.37$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	35c	70.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d1…ed2fbacked Under	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	62cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.81	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	45c	69.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under	48c	68.68$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.71	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	47c	65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.45	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Over	52c	63.84$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	51c	60.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-9.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over	37c	53.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	44c	52.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	53c	48.47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.98	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event