NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1844fb7c98344c0a9f91379edbff6c098615e16dfa25cf9c444888417dc9a4dd

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Under	54c	85,621$45,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,660.6	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over	46c	33,914$15,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,739.71	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	23,580$10,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,967.11	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	46c	20,019$9,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,308.87	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Over	48c	7,971$3,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,826	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under	52c	7,385$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,544.85	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	46c	7,178$3,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,301.75	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	3,683$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.38	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	2,666$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.33	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	54c	2,625$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.04	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over	46c	1,939$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.81	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over	47c	1,495$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.65	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	46c	978.26$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over	47c	924.15$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.16	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over	48c	589.94$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.44	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	53c	483.95$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.46	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	357.5$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over	48c	357.34$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.86	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over	45c	338.98$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.73	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	46c	307.53$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.93	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	55c	297.96$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.08	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	47c	200.42$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.2	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	54c	166$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.36	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	53c	159.07$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.76	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	46c	138.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.91	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	46c	129$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.34	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef7…3eb0backed Over	47c	124.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.35	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	46c	106$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	46c	105.56$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under	54c	79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.52	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	53c	60.01$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.01	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	46c	50.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Over	47c	46.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over	48c	39.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over	47c	34.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over	47c	33.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over	48c	28.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Under	54c	28.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-9.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb6fd…2f24backed Over	48c	27.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over	47c	25.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over	48c	23.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Under	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	65	61.5%40 W · 25 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event