NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302fabe682a48448d48a325ca15f40bfd9e9cbc3ba97237749f1b0d929ca7db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 51c | 79,115$40,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,842.42 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 27,080$13,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,262.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 50c | 26,490$13,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,138.55 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 17,195$8,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,597.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 16,890$8,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,275.5 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 10,321$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 7,248$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.44 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 5,656$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.02 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 2,429$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 51c | 1,233$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.33 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 1,157$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.22 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 898.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 765.38$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 717.02$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 51c | 489.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 412.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 50c | 253.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 232.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 204.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 52c | 144.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 122.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 118.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 116.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 107.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…c716backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 97.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 50c | 53.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…9f2cbacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 49c | 33.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 33.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 53c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 50c | 27.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 50c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 49c | 25.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 49c | 25.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…8707backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Under | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5this page
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jazz vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.