TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x893e…c716

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.32
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+97%+$23.12
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.91
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.72
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$43.49
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$92.47
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86%+$19.28
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.68
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115.19
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203%+$88.56
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.35
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.76
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.17
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.79
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.15
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$9.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$5.58
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$8.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54%+$12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$7.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+148%+$15.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.03
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.91
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$8.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.68
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.44
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$30.05
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22.73
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.31
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+118.9%+$15.6
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.12
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.37
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30.57
Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.03
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.85
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.39
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.71
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+84.3%+$15.69
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.66
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$9.94
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$15.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$307.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$23.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.