Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c814c9d61925405ae69c43ea3b98d8dd57c04f09f4bb8c16d02f740d1cb782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,696,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,696,838 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 50c | 1,838,271$915,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915,719.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 50c | 381,218$191,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,377.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 264,909$132,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,493.44 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed No | 50c | 195,480$98,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,018 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 51c | 161,200$82,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,988 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 50c | 154,580$77,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,219.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 112,249$58,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,935.7 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 109,790$54,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,972.1 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 50c | 85,525$42,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,762.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 51c | 58,504$29,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,666.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 46c | 54,513$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 49c | 53,947$26,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,512.95 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 51c | 45,904$23,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,501.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 45,651$25,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,140.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 39,252$20,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,988.18 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 51c | 33,522$16,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,538.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 51c | 33,114$16,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,225.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 50c | 32,857$16,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,428.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 49c | 31,895$15,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,266.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 51c | 31,492$15,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,571.46 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 30,908$15,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,385.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 50c | 25,000$12,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 24,550$12,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,815.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 50c | 23,156$11,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,578 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 51c | 22,986$11,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,263.14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 18,459$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,194.85 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 18,446$8,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,490.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 50c | 17,370$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 49c | 15,680$7,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked No | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 51c | 9,861$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.52 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…7cc4backed No | 49c | 9,850$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 9,318$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.69 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 48c | 8,598$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 51c | 8,012$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 51c | 7,904$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 7,700$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 7,641$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 44c | 7,223$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 49c | 6,125$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 3,884$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.69 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 3,499$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.42 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 51c | 3,181$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 51c | 3,126$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 79c | 3,045$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 50c | 2,985$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.43 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 55c | 2,738$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,678$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 51c | 2,263$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 67c | 2,222$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.43 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 2,137$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No | 51c | 2,070$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 2,015$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 50c | 1,931$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 1,747$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 50c | 1,662$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 52c | 1,470$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.57 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 1,360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 1,349$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.09 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 1,310$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.5 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 1,269$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 51c | 1,239$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 50c | 902.22$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 50c | 880$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 28c | 811.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed No | 50c | 799.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 708.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 685.42$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 50c | 678$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 45c | 663$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 51c | 631$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 571.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 23c | 571.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 17c | 564.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.