Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95269b73202cb94b9130ba1f18f658388fdadb90822267d7660510b69e9b390b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,928 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 11,371$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 5,462$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,853$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.93 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,410$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.6 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 1,594$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,396$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.52 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 1,269$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 11c | 907.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.47 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 801.52$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.92 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 526.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.28 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 20c | 490.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 343.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 80c | 277.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 20c | 211.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 12c | 195.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 26c | 180.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 73c | 172.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 150.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 138.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 133.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 121.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 74c | 109.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 27c | 109.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 11c | 97.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 21c | 92.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 17c | 83.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 19c | 70.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 70.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 21c | 70.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 64.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 20c | 60.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 77c | 56.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 77c | 52.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 51.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 78c | 50.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 47.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 52c | 44.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 27c | 41.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…426fbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 74c | 31.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 75c | 31.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed No | 74c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 73c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed No | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.