TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13bc…f77e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Golf, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$23.21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+201.3%+$50.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$11.09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$284.29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$25.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$14.19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$18.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$18.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$5.95
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$11.66
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$5.48
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$12.73
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Murcia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.76
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$27.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+111.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$30.81
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$26.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$8.13
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$14.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.