Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99bda9d9c7090e28dc64ab1e78c2e7f787b506f05740539103b27a968aea2a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 1,419$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,383$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…b266backed No | 76c | 1,080$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 2c | 975.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 2c | 838.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 711.01$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 19c | 692.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 583.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 15c | 550$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 17c | 513.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 20c | 513.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 11c | 481.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 4c | 460.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 407.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 324.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 19c | 305.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 12c | 291.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 24c | 286.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 5c | 279.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 21c | 277.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 9c | 269.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 258.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 8c | 221.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 19c | 208.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 9c | 195.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 19c | 188.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 18c | 179.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 8c | 144.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 64c | 143.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 22c | 128.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 119.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 118.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 22c | 117.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 34c | 115.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 21c | 114.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 11c | 108.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 25c | 107.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 78c | 107.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 101.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 11c | 96.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 34c | 87.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 19c | 78.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 77c | 78.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 75.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 27c | 74.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 80c | 74.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 28c | 68.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 65.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 29c | 62.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 60.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 25c | 60.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed Yes | 26c | 52.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…e17fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 25c | 44.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 38.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 75c | 38.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 37.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 71c | 34.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 72c | 31.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 34c | 30.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…6c92backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 54c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…9784backed No | 74c | 25.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 73c | 24.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 57c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…dcf5backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…afc6backed No | 75c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 77c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.