Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcda2edfebf3313e6d961305282342b84750bc2f89bccd87f6bb2ebbc36159df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab7d…40babacked Yes | 0c | 12,221$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…b278backed Yes | 1c | 2,977$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…ca4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…de84backed Yes | 4c | 1,103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 28c | 767.32$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 642$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 27c | 500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 30c | 499.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…e691backed No | 60c | 338.44$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 71c | 336.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 20c | 299.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked No | 70c | 283.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed No | 75c | 266$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed No | 76c | 263.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 245.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 240.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 238$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 74c | 234.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 72c | 221.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 215.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 12c | 213.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 41c | 195.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 31c | 169.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…fd39backed No | 61c | 162.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 154.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…3bc5backed Yes | 20c | 152.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 150.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 18c | 142.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 139.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 36c | 129.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 123.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 26c | 113.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 113.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 25c | 111.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 36c | 106.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…7ffcbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…9b27backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 25c | 95.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 31c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed No | 66c | 93.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 75c | 92.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…012fbacked Yes | 27c | 91.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 84.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 83.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 83.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 70c | 81.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 79.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 75c | 78.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…98efbacked No | 74c | 77.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 39c | 76.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 73.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 73.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 72.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 28c | 70.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 64c | 70.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 72c | 68.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 33c | 60.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 77c | 58.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 57.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 25c | 55.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 51.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes | 29c | 51.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 64c | 50.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…29e8backed Yes | 26c | 50.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4c96backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…cbdfbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…cdd9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 38.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.