Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c13594f7619096446a2a32349a89f1ba1fb4516ca63304e15735908ef5b4ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 22c | 1,386$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 3c | 1,004$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 768.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 32c | 743.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 711$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 43c | 499.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 43c | 476.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 456.05$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 421.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 27c | 402.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 341.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 301.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 73c | 284.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 281.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 21c | 279.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 49c | 278.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 74c | 272.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 35c | 241.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 39c | 239.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 232.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 223.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 45c | 215.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 215.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 207$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 46c | 194.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 7c | 193.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…115dbacked Yes | 55c | 192$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 57c | 183.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 175.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed No | 47c | 172.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 32c | 170.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 41c | 169.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 165.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 41c | 155$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 70c | 143.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 132.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 23c | 126.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…ca4fbacked Yes | 36c | 124.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 19c | 120.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…60d8backed No | 58c | 119.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 68c | 117.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 43c | 117.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 16c | 109.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…fa6cbacked No | 56c | 108.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 42c | 106.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…6afebacked No | 60c | 106.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 47c | 106.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 104.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 103.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 45c | 99.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 46c | 95.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e320backed Yes | 52c | 95.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 65c | 94.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 94.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 46c | 93.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 66c | 91.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 44c | 90.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 87.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 44c | 87.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 68c | 86.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 65c | 86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 37c | 80.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 78c | 78.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 72c | 78.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 44c | 76.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 73.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked Yes | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…de84backed Yes | 42c | 72.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 60c | 72.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 70c | 71.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 51c | 71.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 55c | 70.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 47c | 70.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 48c | 69.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 38c | 68.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 40c | 68.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 44c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 34c | 66.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 64.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed No | 22c | 62.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…55d7backed Yes | 41c | 62.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 60.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 36c | 59.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.