TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c0b…55e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.88
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$7.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$17.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$59.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$38.75
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$88.18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$114.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Will the announcers say "Turnover" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.16
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.26
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$226
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$8.49
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+101.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+123%+$165.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+97.4%+$19.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alejandro Del Rey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.