Movies · resolved market

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb277b08bb71f06fa335aec9396ce2ce958571a7c4d34b65da2ba92b02b1a65c

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,244 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No	37c	4,268$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.44	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed Yes	67c	3,016$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.91	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes	54c	1,165$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.45	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	6c	964.46$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	268	6.3%17 W · 251 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	26c	620.8$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.3	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes	28c	520$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.75	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…1024backed No	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	41c	448.52$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.75	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes	40c	440.56$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.77	151	49%74 W · 77 L	+10.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4490…54d7backed Yes	25c	436.38$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	50c	435$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.25	167	37.1%62 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked No	25c	430.3$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.58	296	42.6%126 W · 170 L	+22.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	28c	413.5$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.89	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc5…52abbacked Yes	80c	386.58$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.28	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	69cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed No	22c	371.5$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.07	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No	6c	364.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	67c	313.45$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.69	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6408…d5c6backed No	5c	305.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	67c	305.43$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.15	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	32c	301.61$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	130	34.6%45 W · 85 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	18c	301.58$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.18	119	24.4%29 W · 90 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed Yes	70c	288.42$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.49	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	16c	286$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.47	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	71c	280$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.1	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	32c	262.74$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.97	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x810f…57aabacked Yes	54c	215$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	20c	196.22$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	108	30.6%33 W · 75 L	-13.9wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	10c	195$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	124	42.7%53 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	32c	182.41$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.1	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	44c	175.24$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.83	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	49c	174.37$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.41	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb32e…d9cebacked No	58c	172$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	41c	166.91$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	68c	155.85$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.2	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes	36c	150.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.59	233	21.5%50 W · 183 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	45c	148.9$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.18	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	44c	145$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.8	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…2b1fbacked No	64c	141.23$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	47c	123.02$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.97	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	30c	122$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No	62c	120$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.83	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes	75c	105$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes	46c	105$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	41c	102$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.91	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	73c	100.14$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.27	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-7.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb451…467bbacked No	28c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b7…cdb7backed No	59c	83.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	75c	75$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.25	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+120.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed No	54c	74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	42cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa53c…67a5backed Yes	30c	64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	17c	61.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…73e3backed No	75c	61.26$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	71cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	36c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x734b…2a2cbacked No	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No	64c	40.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No	76c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No	71c	28.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	52c	20.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked No	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3344…56c4backed Yes	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?this page
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?No won
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?No won
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?No won
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event