TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2b7…cdb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.94
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.92
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.96
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.85
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$42.46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.18
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$21.27
Will Real Betis vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$53.18
Will Real Oviedo vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.43
Will Villarreal vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Alaves vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$40.06
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+270.4%+$51.37
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+98.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.