Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2461f2fa8dbbbda837613571a66b39e53f5f0ab54fe7f0d8f2064785b69243c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,781,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,758,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,781,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000,105$399,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399,768.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 59c | 349,925$205,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,674.78 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 50c | 247,514$122,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,919.23 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 243,085$128,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,055.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 233,476$132,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,864.95 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 66c | 216,314$143,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,481.79 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 186,954$101,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,647.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 159,663$93,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,629.76 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 51c | 114,849$58,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,965.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 44c | 111,790$49,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,625.3 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 95,399$51,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,282.29 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 46c | 91,187$41,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,215.86 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 49c | 87,302$42,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,490.84 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 74,418$46,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,143.64 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 50c | 63,800$31,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,099.94 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 50c | 60,823$30,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,381.51 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Yes | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 45,946$22,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,692.01 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 44,160$23,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,621.41 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 44c | 40,655$18,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,615.58 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 39,352$27,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,868.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 50c | 35,400$17,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,659.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 51c | 35,108$17,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,300.99 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 31,095$15,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.71 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 28,080$13,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,490.72 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 27,326$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925.83 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 52c | 26,977$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 20,769$9,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,097.34 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 20,010$15,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.43 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 38c | 20,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 50c | 18,873$9,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 50c | 17,499$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,824.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 15,372$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,853.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 50c | 13,876$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,993.32 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 48c | 12,004$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,242.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 11,999$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.88 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 11,122$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.26 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…616fbacked No | 49c | 10,857$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 48c | 10,038$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Yes | 30c | 9,100$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 50c | 8,967$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.88 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 15c | 8,169$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 14c | 7,323$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 14c | 7,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 69c | 7,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 51c | 6,946$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.46 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 7c | 6,939$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 6,900$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.4 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed Yes | 50c | 6,500$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 51c | 6,500$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.93 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 50c | 6,491$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.58 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 33c | 6,197$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 6,139$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.22 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 61c | 6,097$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.85 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…6afebacked Yes | 55c | 5,360$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…4950backed Yes | 52c | 5,229$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.11 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 4,556$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.52 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 30c | 4,160$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,125$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.93 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,997$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…ba58backed Yes | 53c | 3,875$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6df7backed No | 47c | 3,869$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 52c | 3,847$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.18 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 37c | 3,493$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 49c | 3,473$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.54 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 28c | 3,471$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 50c | 3,421$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.13 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 42c | 3,343$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.78 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 48c | 3,329$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.24 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…6e74backed Yes | 51c | 3,245$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…ce0abacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes | 36c | 2,881$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.