TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c27,718$20,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.42,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No74c27,500$20,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c22,173$17,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,040.824,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c22,067$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes26c19,877$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1685324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Yes29c13,051$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.07540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No76c12,500$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.0710962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes28c10,841$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.55653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c10,387$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.841,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c9,609$6,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes24c7,269$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.648940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes24c5,003$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.6679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No72c4,253$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.0111162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b7e…20a7backed Yes26c2,580$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes2c2,400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34dc…c7e2backed No75c2,300$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No72c2,132$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.862540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes24c2,019$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5720239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes28c1,784$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c1,706$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes15c1,550$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.668257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39e…d78abacked Yes28c1,373$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes11c1,201$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No77c1,064$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2421965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29018259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes25c981.24$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.861,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7316…4686backed Yes14c928.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes28c896.43$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c883.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Yes13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…8971backed Yes22c800$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+171.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes3c744.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78250%0 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes7c739.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c725.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5961441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes27c721.05$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8540150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes14c716.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes7c690$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.323325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0965…f434backed Yes13c684.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c570.28$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes18c557.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes15c549$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9745751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c546.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked No80c509.76$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.314250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes27c506$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc193…872dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No79c491.61$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0813249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No74c351.61$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2515350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes31c322.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8514138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes31c316$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.064639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No79c293.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5810044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes20c293.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3213941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes28c289.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d46…84fcbacked No75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c273$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7136956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes15c258.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Yes27c257.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.517744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes28c242.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No76c235.86$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0412646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c222.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes27c221.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8780…0848backed Yes25c219.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No74c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.26053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581c…4d7ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c177.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes13c171.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204632.6%15 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes26c130.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes24c123.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Yes25c118.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes22c112.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2589…ebd2backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd4…c04dbacked Yes10c102.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No76c95.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2329259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Yes27c91.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed No77c81.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.083333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.