TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,457,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,559,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c177,541$93,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,753.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No33c96,612$31,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,907.1327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes77c85,607$66,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,347.761163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No77c68,512$52,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,754.265556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No19c50,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No29c30,981$8,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,894.36650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c28,422$14,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,815.712,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c21,427$16,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,662.341,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes25c19,441$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,641.275324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c14,617$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.214,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes80c12,915$10,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.0213829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes23c10,603$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,164.1811838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c9,265$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a3d3backed Yes23c8,371$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.67875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+79.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c8,001$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,160.521,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No77c7,792$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes24c6,065$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.789111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No75c5,416$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.7379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…1188backed Yes23c5,358$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac5…f0f1backed No77c5,168$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes24c5,083$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.3353134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…347bbacked Yes23c5,063$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9005246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…6559backed No77c4,742$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.34666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No50c4,596$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.3429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ca…8802backed Yes23c4,238$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No76c4,172$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.6135941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No77c4,142$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.3146651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…1c82backed No77c4,050$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes22c3,980$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.1925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfb…58b4backed Yes23c3,920$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ec…9ff6backed No77c3,868$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.36875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1783…35a6backed Yes23c3,743$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe890…b9c2backed Yes23c3,724$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.48875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+84.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc325…7546backed Yes23c3,536$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…2f2bbacked Yes23c3,463$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+103%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No76c3,450$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.722540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6da…08b2backed Yes23c3,414$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc757…a7fcbacked Yes23c3,358$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6f…01c0backed Yes23c3,239$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.03785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe819…ebb5backed No77c3,002$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes22c3,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3404252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No42c3,000$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.9925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c2,957$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.961,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914c…aea6backed Yes23c2,927$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+134.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x245c…b8d7backed No77c2,812$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6a…7ac5backed Yes23c2,725$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+115%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No27c2,715$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…d6f2backed Yes23c2,699$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f5…a5aebacked Yes23c2,673$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x947a…89b0backed Yes23c2,653$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1c…431bbacked No77c2,624$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe613…29b4backed Yes23c2,610$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+137%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…2accbacked Yes23c2,585$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+188.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…6ffabacked No77c2,563$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f58…aa47backed Yes23c2,514$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…1a10backed No77c2,462$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…d307backed Yes23c2,404$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4c…f1a4backed No77c2,401$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.7790%0 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes56c2,400$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.321,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca4…62b5backed Yes23c2,379$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.83837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…939abacked Yes23c2,352$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+134.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c8…4b5ebacked Yes23c2,314$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a3…a00cbacked No77c2,301$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd623…2e9abacked Yes23c2,279$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0690…d64cbacked No77c2,233$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a287backed No77c2,221$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.17757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee9…00c8backed Yes23c2,203$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0606…9ebbbacked No77c2,200$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…752ebacked Yes23c2,186$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb60…7861backed Yes23c2,152$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf785…44abbacked No77c2,126$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1a…de6dbacked No77c2,114$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c77…e281backed Yes23c2,095$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.15560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…6f49backed Yes23c2,079$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0c…d3c5backed Yes23c2,060$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+216%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ca…e309backed Yes23c2,059$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…3d41backed Yes23c2,040$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…422dbacked No77c2,035$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.95540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No77c1,994$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.0611945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed Yes23c1,981$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c1,976$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.0668942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…4034backed Yes23c1,973$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab11…1e58backed Yes23c1,942$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.34450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a4…c264backed Yes23c1,904$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…b0e2backed Yes23c1,874$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd030…4e1ebacked No77c1,858$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…bceebacked No77c1,856$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c5…57b1backed No77c1,830$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb262…4277backed Yes23c1,824$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…19d7backed Yes23c1,814$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b69…a195backed No77c1,802$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes23c1,800$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3865034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No76c1,786$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.